The Near Post’s EFL Weekend Preview (29th & 30th October 2022)

The Near Post’s EFL Weekend Preview (29th & 30th October 2022)

The end of October is almost upon us. It may be unseasonably mild, but the clocks go back this weekend and it’s Halloween on Monday. The question is will this weekend be more of a trick or more of a treat for your EFL club?

In the Championship, QPR take on Birmingham City on Friday night, Carlos Corberan’s West Brom welcome Sheffield United to The Hawthorns for the Saturday lunchtime kick off and Michael Carrick’s Middlesbrough travel to Hull.

In League One, there’s a massive game on Monday night as leaders Plymouth Argyle face Exeter City. Ipswich Town can move to the top of the league (if only for 48 hours) on Saturday with a victory over Charlton Athletic.

In League Two, table-toppers Leyton Orient take on Salford City, Stevenage face Colchester United and Northampton Town welcome Newport County to Sixfields.

Here are our picks from this weekend’s EFL matches:

TNP says: We fancy Burnley to rack up their fifth victory in their last six games when they take on Reading and we’re also tipping Mike Flynn’s Walsall to continue their resurgence when they host Rochdale. If you’re looking for a bit more value, then we would recommend taking a look at Blackpool to beat Coventry (3.80) and Bristol Rovers to beat Derby (4.50). Despite going off as heavy favourites, Derby are yet to win at home under Paul Warne and Joey Barton’s Rovers are coming off the back of impressive results (and performances) against Plymouth and Sheffield Wednesday.

We’ve struggled with our goalscorer picks of late, so we’ve decided to back League One’s top scorer, Jonson Clarke-Harris, to score in Peterborough’s home game against Cambridge. Posh have scored 20 goals in their eight home games in League One this season (no team in the third tier has scored more at home) and eight of Clarke-Harris’ 11 league goals have come on his own patch. We’re also tipping up Swansea’s Harry Darling to score against Bristol City. The Robins continue to be suspect defensively (especially from set pieces) and Darling has already shown this season that he can be a threat both in open play and from dead ball situations.

Finally, in terms of our goals bets this weekend, we thought we’d shake things up a bit and move away from backing Gillingham to go under 2.5 goals (even though we’d still highly recommend it!) We can see miserly Lincoln’s trip to Port Value going under 2.5 goals. The Imps have kept three clean sheets in their last four games – one at home to Charlton and two away from home against Ipswich and Barnsley. If you want goals, then we think you should take a look at Hull v Blackburn – largely because of the hosts! Hull are a very unpredictable side, but there last two games have seen ten goals scored. As for Rovers, they’ve won and scored twice in each of their last three games but, despite being 3rd in the league, they’ve already lost seven games and we still don’t really know how good they actually are!

If you are placing a bet this weekend, please be gamble aware. Do not bet more than you can afford to lose and do not chase your losses. For more information, please head to the Be Gamble Aware website.

(Photo Creds – Alex Taylor)